HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
37.6%
朝興貴 (R=1192)
vs
62.4%
出羽大海 (R=1281)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝興貴) | 50.2% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -0.2pt |
Positive = 朝興貴 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝興貴 | 出羽大海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1365 (2021-03) | 1341 (2026-03) |
| Career bouts | 720 | 590 |
| Wins | 357 | 280 |
| Losses | 354 | 240 |
| Win rate | 50.2% | 53.6% |
| Current rank | Makushita #54 | Makushita #52 |
| Active period | 2009-03 〜 2026-09 | 2012-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝興貴 | vs | 出羽大海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11 | 4 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 7 | 38% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.