YUSHO PROBABILITY
2026-07 BashoBashoGrand sumo tournament. 6 are held per year (Jan, Mar, May, Jul, Sep, Nov), each lasting 15 days. · YushoYushoTournament championship. Goes to the wrestler with the most wins; tied wrestlers go to a playoff. Forecast
Monte Carlo simulation based on each wrestler's latest rating (10,000 iterations).
Live · after Day 11 — probabilities updated from current results
#1
YUSHO PROBABILITY
63.2%
Top 42 — 幕内
- 2
霧島KirishimaOzeki・音羽山部屋18.26%Avg 11.5 w - 3
高安TakayasuMaegashira #7・田子ノ浦部屋7.73%Avg 10.9 w - 4
尊富士TakerufujiMaegashira #13・伊勢ヶ濱部屋4.92%Avg 10.7 w - 5
琴栄峰KotoehoMaegashira #7・佐渡ヶ嶽部屋2.10%Avg 10.3 w - 6
獅司ShishiMaegashira #14・雷部屋1.48%Avg 10.2 w - 7
朝乃山AsanoyamaMaegashira #10・高砂部屋1.36%Avg 10.2 w - 8
熱海富士AtamifujiSekiwake・伊勢ヶ濱部屋0.79%Avg 9.9 w - 9
錦富士NishikifujiMaegashira #13・伊勢ヶ濱部屋0.14%Avg 9.3 w - 10
豊昇龍HoshoryuYokozuna・立浪部屋0.02%Avg 9.8 w - 11
大の里OnosatoYokozuna・二所ノ関部屋0.00%Avg 9.0 w - 12
琴櫻KotozakuraOzeki・佐渡ヶ嶽部屋0.00%Avg 8.4 w - 13
琴勝峰KotoshohoSekiwake・佐渡ヶ嶽部屋0.00%Avg 6.1 w - 14
王鵬OhoKomusubi・大嶽部屋0.00%Avg 3.3 w - 15
義ノ富士YoshinofujiKomusubi・伊勢ヶ濱部屋0.00%Avg 7.5 w - 16
隆の勝TakanoshoMaegashira #1・湊川部屋0.00%Avg 7.2 w - 17
藤ノ川FujinokawaMaegashira #1・伊勢ノ海部屋0.00%Avg 7.1 w - 18
美ノ海ChuranomiMaegashira #2・木瀬部屋0.00%Avg 6.0 w - 19
豪ノ山GonoyamaMaegashira #2・武隈部屋0.00%Avg 7.1 w - 20
平戸海HiradomiMaegashira #3・境川部屋0.00%Avg 3.1 w - 21
伯乃富士HakunofujiMaegashira #3・伊勢ヶ濱部屋0.00%Avg 9.3 w - 22
大栄翔DaieshoMaegashira #4・追手風部屋0.00%Avg 8.3 w - 23
一山本IchiyamamotoMaegashira #4・放駒部屋0.00%Avg 6.9 w - 24
宇良UraMaegashira #5・木瀬部屋0.00%Avg 6.1 w - 25
欧勝馬OshomaMaegashira #5・鳴戸部屋0.00%Avg 6.8 w - 26
正代ShodaiMaegashira #6・時津風部屋0.00%Avg 5.9 w - 27
藤青雲FujiseunMaegashira #6・藤島部屋0.00%Avg 7.7 w - 28
若元春WakamotoharuMaegashira #8・荒汐部屋0.00%Avg 7.1 w - 29
狼雅RogaMaegashira #8・二子山部屋0.00%Avg 6.7 w - 30
翔猿TobizaruMaegashira #9・追手風部屋0.00%Avg 4.8 w - 31
藤凌駕FujiryogaMaegashira #9・藤島部屋0.00%Avg 8.8 w - 32
千代翔馬ChiyoshomaMaegashira #10・九重部屋0.00%Avg 4.7 w - 33
御嶽海MitakeumiMaegashira #11・出羽海部屋0.00%Avg 2.7 w - 34
阿炎AbiMaegashira #12・錣山部屋0.00%Avg 7.0 w - 35
朝白龍AsahakuryuMaegashira #12・高砂部屋0.00%Avg 5.8 w - 36
金峰山KimbozanMaegashira #14・木瀬部屋0.00%Avg 7.6 w - 37
阿武剋OnokatsuMaegashira #15・阿武松部屋0.00%Avg 4.1 w - 38
一意KazumaMaegashira #15・木瀬部屋0.00%Avg 5.3 w - 39
朝紅龍AsakoryuMaegashira #16・高砂部屋0.00%Avg 7.6 w - 40
大青山DaisezanMaegashira #16・荒汐部屋0.00%Avg 6.7 w
Withdrawn Wrestlers (2)
Detected as kyujo (withdrawn) when no Day 1 bout exists; excluded from yusho forecast.
若隆景WakatakakageSekiwakeWithdrawn
若ノ勝WakanoshoMaegashira #11Withdrawn
Simplified forecast — does not account for injuries, momentum, or form.