HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
34.0%
朝興貴 (R=1192)
vs
66.0%
大和湖 (R=1310)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝興貴) | 41.1% |
| Actual win rate | 25.0% |
| Delta | -16.1pt |
Positive = 朝興貴 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝興貴 | 大和湖 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1365 (2021-03) | 1410 (2024-09) |
| Career bouts | 702 | 464 |
| Wins | 348 | 230 |
| Losses | 345 | 211 |
| Win rate | 50.2% | 52.6% |
| Current rank | Makushita #54 | Makushita #45 |
| Active period | 2009-03 〜 2026-09 | 2015-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝興貴 | vs | 大和湖 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09 | 5 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-05 | 9 | 40% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 8 | 38% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-07 | 4 | 44% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.