HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
54.1%
朝興貴 (R=1192)
vs
45.9%
荒雄山 (R=1162)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝興貴) | 65.1% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 34.9pt |
Positive = 朝興貴 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝興貴 | 荒雄山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1365 (2021-03) | 1311 (2019-07) |
| Career bouts | 702 | 287 |
| Wins | 348 | 142 |
| Losses | 345 | 144 |
| Win rate | 50.2% | 49.8% |
| Current rank | Makushita #54 | Sandanme #32 |
| Active period | 2009-03 〜 2026-09 | 2019-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝興貴 | vs | 荒雄山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09 | 15 | 65% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.