HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
66.5%
北洋山 (R=805)
vs
33.5%
朝櫻井 (R=683)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (北洋山) | 71.7% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -21.7pt |
Positive = 北洋山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 北洋山 | 朝櫻井 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1218 (2009-05) | 821 (2023-05) |
| Career bouts | 719 | 151 |
| Wins | 337 | 59 |
| Losses | 359 | 92 |
| Win rate | 48.6% | 39.1% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #46 | Jonidan #45 |
| Active period | 2009-03 〜 2026-09 | 2023-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 北洋山 | vs | 朝櫻井 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 4 | 77% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 4 | 66% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.