HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
40.0%
小城ノ正 (R=911)
vs
60.0%
栃満 (R=984)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (小城ノ正) | 40.7% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -40.7pt |
Positive = 小城ノ正 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 小城ノ正 | 栃満 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1347 (2009-03) | 1490 (2014-05) |
| Career bouts | 707 | 506 |
| Wins | 348 | 252 |
| Losses | 351 | 250 |
| Win rate | 49.8% | 50.1% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #33 | Jonidan #31 |
| Active period | 2009-03 〜 2026-09 | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 小城ノ正 | vs | 栃満 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 15 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.