HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
38.2%
千代翔馬 (R=1551)
vs
61.8%
阿炎 (R=1637)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (11 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (千代翔馬) | 39.9% |
| Actual win rate | 36.4% |
| Delta | -3.6pt |
Positive = 千代翔馬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 千代翔馬 | 阿炎 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1714 (2025-01) | 1842 (2022-01) |
| Career bouts | 1,222 | 1,000 |
| Wins | 601 | 518 |
| Losses | 599 | 410 |
| Win rate | 50.1% | 56.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #14 | Maegashira #13 |
| Active period | 2009-07 〜 2026-09 | 2013-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (11)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 千代翔馬 | vs | 阿炎 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-11 | 2 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-03 | 11 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2018-11 | 15 | 37% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2019-01 | 8 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-01 | 2 | 25% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-11 | 2 | 24% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-03 | 4 | 39% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 5 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 6 | 44% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 8 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 12 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.