HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
28.3%
千代翔馬 (R=1551)
vs
71.7%
平戸海 (R=1716)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (7 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (千代翔馬) | 44.2% |
| Actual win rate | 28.6% |
| Delta | -15.6pt |
Positive = 千代翔馬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 千代翔馬 | 平戸海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1714 (2025-01) | 1808 (2024-07) |
| Career bouts | 1,222 | 677 |
| Wins | 601 | 356 |
| Losses | 599 | 312 |
| Win rate | 50.1% | 53.2% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #14 | Maegashira #8 |
| Active period | 2009-07 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (7)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 千代翔馬 | vs | 平戸海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09 | 4 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-01 | 4 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-05 | 15 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-09 | 10 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 1 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 13 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 10 | 32% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.