HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
49.2%
千代翔馬 (R=1381)
vs
50.8%
狼雅 (R=1386)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (7 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (千代翔馬) | 50.0% |
| Actual win rate | 57.1% |
| Delta | 7.1pt |
Positive = 千代翔馬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 千代翔馬 | 狼雅 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1411 (2025-03) | 1478 (2019-03) |
| Career bouts | 1,204 | 496 |
| Wins | 594 | 268 |
| Losses | 587 | 214 |
| Win rate | 50.3% | 55.5% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #10 | Maegashira #8 |
| Active period | 2009-07 〜 2026-07 | 2019-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (7)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 千代翔馬 | vs | 狼雅 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01 | 11 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 7 | 54% | □ | vs | ■ |
| 2025-07 | 2 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 14 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 6 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 12 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 6 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.