HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
47.1%
千代翔馬 (R=1381)
vs
52.9%
欧勝馬 (R=1401)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (千代翔馬) | 49.6% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -16.2pt |
Positive = 千代翔馬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 千代翔馬 | 欧勝馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1411 (2025-03) | 1421 (2025-05) |
| Career bouts | 1,204 | 400 |
| Wins | 594 | 204 |
| Losses | 587 | 187 |
| Win rate | 50.3% | 52.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #10 | Maegashira #5 |
| Active period | 2009-07 〜 2026-07 | 2021-11 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 千代翔馬 | vs | 欧勝馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01 | 1 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 1 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 5 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 12 | 47% | — | vs | — |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.