HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
36.1%
千代翔馬 (R=1551)
vs
63.9%
欧勝馬 (R=1652)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (千代翔馬) | 49.3% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 0.7pt |
Positive = 千代翔馬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 千代翔馬 | 欧勝馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1714 (2025-01) | 1732 (2025-05) |
| Career bouts | 1,222 | 418 |
| Wins | 601 | 212 |
| Losses | 599 | 198 |
| Win rate | 50.1% | 51.8% |
| Current rank | Juryo #1 | Maegashira #9 |
| Active period | 2009-07 〜 2026-09 | 2021-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 千代翔馬 | vs | 欧勝馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01 | 1 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 1 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 5 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 12 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.