HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
37.9%
千代翔馬 (R=1551)
vs
62.1%
朝白龍 (R=1639)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (千代翔馬) | 44.5% |
| Actual win rate | 60.0% |
| Delta | 15.5pt |
Positive = 千代翔馬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 千代翔馬 | 朝白龍 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1714 (2025-01) | 1683 (2026-03) |
| Career bouts | 1,222 | 210 |
| Wins | 601 | 134 |
| Losses | 599 | 76 |
| Win rate | 50.1% | 63.8% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #14 | Maegashira #12 |
| Active period | 2009-07 〜 2026-09 | 2023-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 千代翔馬 | vs | 朝白龍 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 10 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 6 | 42% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 8 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 4 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 4 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.