HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
45.2%
千代翔馬 (R=1551)
vs
54.8%
阿武剋 (R=1586)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (千代翔馬) | 48.5% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -15.2pt |
Positive = 千代翔馬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 千代翔馬 | 阿武剋 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1714 (2025-01) | 1726 (2024-05) |
| Career bouts | 1,229 | 253 |
| Wins | 604 | 130 |
| Losses | 603 | 110 |
| Win rate | 50.0% | 54.3% |
| Current rank | Juryo #1 | Juryo #1 |
| Active period | 2009-07 〜 2026-09 | 2023-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 千代翔馬 | vs | 阿武剋 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11 | 2 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 7 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 1 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.