HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
53.5%
千代翔馬 (R=1551)
vs
46.5%
竜電 (R=1526)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (12 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (千代翔馬) | 45.3% |
| Actual win rate | 58.3% |
| Delta | 13.0pt |
Positive = 千代翔馬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 千代翔馬 | 竜電 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1714 (2025-01) | 1732 (2023-01) |
| Career bouts | 1,229 | 1,314 |
| Wins | 604 | 635 |
| Losses | 603 | 570 |
| Win rate | 50.0% | 53.0% |
| Current rank | Juryo #1 | Juryo #5 |
| Active period | 2009-07 〜 2026-09 | 2006-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (12)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 千代翔馬 | vs | 竜電 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-03 | 4 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2018-05 | 2 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2018-09 | 7 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2019-03 | 13 | 44% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2021-03 | 13 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-09 | 10 | 31% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-01 | 14 | 30% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-05 | 14 | 41% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-09 | 15 | 41% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 3 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 5 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 13 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.