HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
47.9%
荒篤山 (R=1385)
vs
52.1%
大雄翔 (R=1400)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (荒篤山) | 47.9% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 52.1pt |
Positive = 荒篤山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 荒篤山 | 大雄翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1554 (2022-01) | 1425 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 828 | 355 |
| Wins | 408 | 179 |
| Losses | 408 | 124 |
| Win rate | 50.0% | 58.9% |
| Current rank | Makushita #16 | Makushita #18 |
| Active period | 2009-09 〜 2026-09 | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 荒篤山 | vs | 大雄翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 6 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.