HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
36.6%
荒篤山 (R=1385)
vs
63.4%
時不動 (R=1482)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (荒篤山) | 44.2% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 5.8pt |
Positive = 荒篤山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 荒篤山 | 時不動 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1554 (2022-01) | 1487 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 810 | 316 |
| Wins | 401 | 173 |
| Losses | 397 | 136 |
| Win rate | 50.3% | 56.0% |
| Current rank | Makushita #16 | Juryo #13 |
| Active period | 2009-09 〜 2026-09 | 2019-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 荒篤山 | vs | 時不動 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07 | 7 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 7 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.