HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
54.2%
荒篤山 (R=1272)
vs
45.8%
時不動 (R=1243)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (荒篤山) | 55.7% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 44.3pt |
Positive = 荒篤山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 荒篤山 | 時不動 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1313 (2025-11) | 1243 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 810 | 294 |
| Wins | 401 | 162 |
| Losses | 397 | 125 |
| Win rate | 50.3% | 56.4% |
| Current rank | Makushita #5 | Makushita #2 |
| Active period | 2009-09 〜 2026-05 | 2019-05 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 荒篤山 | vs | 時不動 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07 | 7 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



