HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
37.7%
荒篤山 (R=1385)
vs
62.3%
夢道鵬 (R=1474)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (荒篤山) | 53.6% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -3.6pt |
Positive = 荒篤山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 荒篤山 | 夢道鵬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1554 (2022-01) | 1475 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 810 | 274 |
| Wins | 401 | 143 |
| Losses | 397 | 121 |
| Win rate | 50.3% | 54.6% |
| Current rank | Makushita #7 | Makushita #6 |
| Active period | 2009-09 〜 2026-09 | 2020-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 荒篤山 | vs | 夢道鵬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11 | 8 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 11 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.