HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
40.1%
荒篤山 (R=1385)
vs
59.9%
日向丸 (R=1456)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (荒篤山) | 49.8% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -49.8pt |
Positive = 荒篤山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 荒篤山 | 日向丸 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1554 (2022-01) | 1488 (2025-09) |
| Career bouts | 810 | 148 |
| Wins | 401 | 83 |
| Losses | 397 | 63 |
| Win rate | 50.3% | 57.4% |
| Current rank | Makushita #7 | Makushita #2 |
| Active period | 2009-09 〜 2026-09 | 2023-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 荒篤山 | vs | 日向丸 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11 | 14 | 58% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 1 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 3 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.