HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
40.4%
荒篤山 (R=1385)
vs
59.6%
大皇翔 (R=1454)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (荒篤山) | 40.4% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -40.4pt |
Positive = 荒篤山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 荒篤山 | 大皇翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1554 (2022-01) | 1472 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 828 | 109 |
| Wins | 408 | 68 |
| Losses | 408 | 38 |
| Win rate | 50.0% | 64.5% |
| Current rank | Makushita #16 | Makushita #16 |
| Active period | 2009-09 〜 2026-09 | 2024-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 荒篤山 | vs | 大皇翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 1 | 40% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.