HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
62.9%
千代ノ皇 (R=1215)
vs
37.1%
淡の海 (R=1121)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (千代ノ皇) | 67.7% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 32.3pt |
Positive = 千代ノ皇 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 千代ノ皇 | 淡の海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1579 (2021-05) | 1193 (2018-07) |
| Career bouts | 1,004 | 334 |
| Wins | 481 | 169 |
| Losses | 468 | 157 |
| Win rate | 50.6% | 51.8% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #35 | Sandanme #31 |
| Active period | 2010-03 〜 2026-09 | 2018-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 千代ノ皇 | vs | 淡の海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 8 | 68% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.