HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
50.4%
輝 (R=1550)
vs
49.6%
正代 (R=1547)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (9 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (輝) | 36.8% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -3.5pt |
Positive = 輝 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 輝 | 正代 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1672 (2020-03) | 1889 (2020-09) |
| Career bouts | 1,256 | 1,055 |
| Wins | 617 | 533 |
| Losses | 630 | 500 |
| Win rate | 49.8% | 52.1% |
| Current rank | Juryo #3 | Juryo #3 |
| Active period | 2010-03 〜 2026-09 | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (9)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 輝 | vs | 正代 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-01 | 4 | 33% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2017-11 | 12 | 30% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-01 | 15 | 32% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2018-07 | 15 | 35% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2019-05 | 9 | 39% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2020-01 | 13 | 38% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2020-07 | 9 | 34% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 13 | 41% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 1 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.