HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
49.3%
輝 (R=1326)
vs
50.7%
炎鵬 (R=1331)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (7 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (輝) | 49.6% |
| Actual win rate | 71.4% |
| Delta | 21.8pt |
Positive = 輝 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 輝 | 炎鵬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1516 (2010-05) | 1685 (2017-09) |
| Career bouts | 1,231 | 632 |
| Wins | 600 | 298 |
| Losses | 621 | 250 |
| Win rate | 49.5% | 54.3% |
| Current rank | Juryo #11 | Juryo #11 |
| Active period | 2010-03 〜 2026-07 | 2017-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (7)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 輝 | vs | 炎鵬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-07 | 7 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2019-09 | 6 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2020-01 | 15 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2020-07 | 10 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2020-09 | 6 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-09 | 8 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 6 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.