HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
55.1%
輝 (R=1550)
vs
44.9%
炎鵬 (R=1513)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (8 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (輝) | 48.6% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | 26.4pt |
Positive = 輝 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 輝 | 炎鵬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1672 (2020-03) | 1707 (2017-09) |
| Career bouts | 1,249 | 650 |
| Wins | 613 | 308 |
| Losses | 627 | 259 |
| Win rate | 49.8% | 54.2% |
| Current rank | Juryo #3 | Juryo #10 |
| Active period | 2010-03 〜 2026-09 | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (8)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 輝 | vs | 炎鵬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-07 | 7 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2019-09 | 6 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2020-01 | 15 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2020-07 | 10 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2020-09 | 6 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-09 | 8 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 6 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 10 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.