HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
63.0%
輝 (R=1550)
vs
37.0%
栃大海 (R=1455)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (輝) | 50.3% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 16.3pt |
Positive = 輝 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 輝 | 栃大海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1672 (2020-03) | 1564 (2025-03) |
| Career bouts | 1,249 | 473 |
| Wins | 613 | 246 |
| Losses | 627 | 221 |
| Win rate | 49.8% | 52.6% |
| Current rank | Juryo #11 | Juryo #14 |
| Active period | 2010-03 〜 2026-09 | 2017-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 輝 | vs | 栃大海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05 | 15 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 8 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 2 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 10 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 9 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 7 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.