HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
62.0%
輝 (R=1550)
vs
38.0%
羽出山 (R=1463)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (輝) | 45.7% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | 29.3pt |
Positive = 輝 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 輝 | 羽出山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1672 (2020-03) | 1620 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 1,249 | 284 |
| Wins | 613 | 151 |
| Losses | 627 | 131 |
| Win rate | 49.8% | 53.4% |
| Current rank | Juryo #11 | Juryo #8 |
| Active period | 2010-03 〜 2026-09 | 2022-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 輝 | vs | 羽出山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 11 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 13 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 10 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 4 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.