HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
34.7%
栃颯 (R=679)
vs
65.3%
玄武丸 (R=791)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃颯) | 47.3% |
| Actual win rate | 25.0% |
| Delta | -22.3pt |
Positive = 栃颯 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃颯 | 玄武丸 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1338 (2010-05) | 1400 (2014-01) |
| Career bouts | 666 | 514 |
| Wins | 306 | 240 |
| Losses | 284 | 257 |
| Win rate | 51.4% | 48.4% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #79 | Jonidan #21 |
| Active period | 2010-03 〜 2026-09 | 2014-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃颯 | vs | 玄武丸 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05 | 13 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 15 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-07 | 9 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 5 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.