HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
33.8%
天空海 (R=1379)
vs
66.2%
栃武蔵 (R=1498)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (天空海) | 43.5% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 23.2pt |
Positive = 天空海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 天空海 | 栃武蔵 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1584 (2021-11) | 1600 (2022-09) |
| Career bouts | 864 | 264 |
| Wins | 429 | 134 |
| Losses | 424 | 102 |
| Win rate | 50.6% | 56.8% |
| Current rank | Makushita #14 | Makushita #17 |
| Active period | 2010-11 〜 2026-09 | 2021-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 天空海 | vs | 栃武蔵 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11 | 6 | 35% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-01 | 11 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-03 | 14 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-01 | 8 | 44% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 13 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-07 | 4 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.