HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
51.7%
明生 (R=1476)
vs
48.3%
羽出山 (R=1463)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (明生) | 48.1% |
| Actual win rate | 25.0% |
| Delta | -23.1pt |
Positive = 明生 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 明生 | 羽出山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1768 (2021-07) | 1620 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 1,095 | 284 |
| Wins | 540 | 151 |
| Losses | 531 | 131 |
| Win rate | 50.7% | 53.4% |
| Current rank | Juryo #13 | Juryo #8 |
| Active period | 2011-05 〜 2026-09 | 2022-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 明生 | vs | 羽出山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 7 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 9 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 4 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 12 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.