HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
40.9%
明生 (R=1476)
vs
59.1%
嘉陽 (R=1541)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (明生) | 57.1% |
| Actual win rate | 20.0% |
| Delta | -37.1pt |
Positive = 明生 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 明生 | 嘉陽 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1768 (2021-07) | 1575 (2025-05) |
| Career bouts | 1,095 | 301 |
| Wins | 540 | 164 |
| Losses | 531 | 136 |
| Win rate | 50.7% | 54.8% |
| Current rank | Juryo #13 | Juryo #4 |
| Active period | 2011-05 〜 2026-09 | 2022-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 明生 | vs | 嘉陽 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05 | 14 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 15 | 63% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 1 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 15 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 1 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.