HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
43.8%
明生 (R=1476)
vs
56.2%
白熊 (R=1520)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (明生) | 52.0% |
| Actual win rate | 60.0% |
| Delta | 8.0pt |
Positive = 明生 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 明生 | 白熊 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1768 (2021-07) | 1594 (2024-07) |
| Career bouts | 1,095 | 334 |
| Wins | 540 | 177 |
| Losses | 531 | 150 |
| Win rate | 50.7% | 53.9% |
| Current rank | Juryo #13 | Juryo #6 |
| Active period | 2011-05 〜 2026-09 | 2022-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 明生 | vs | 白熊 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03 | 10 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 5 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 7 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 6 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 15 | 40% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.