HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
56.1%
明生 (R=1476)
vs
43.9%
佐田の海 (R=1432)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (24 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (明生) | 54.1% |
| Actual win rate | 58.3% |
| Delta | 4.2pt |
Positive = 明生 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 明生 | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1768 (2021-07) | 1692 (2015-07) |
| Career bouts | 1,095 | 1,628 |
| Wins | 540 | 791 |
| Losses | 531 | 829 |
| Win rate | 50.7% | 48.9% |
| Current rank | Juryo #13 | Juryo #11 |
| Active period | 2011-05 〜 2026-09 | 2003-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (24)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 明生 | vs | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-11 | 5 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-01 | 10 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-03 | 2 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-07 | 8 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-11 | 10 | 44% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2019-01 | 12 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2019-09 | 1 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2020-03 | 11 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2020-09 | 11 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2020-11 | 1 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-05 | 3 | 58% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-01 | 12 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-03 | 6 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-05 | 7 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-01 | 4 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 2 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 12 | 60% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-07 | 8 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 3 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 8 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 11 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 10 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 13 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 13 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.