HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
50.4%
明生 (R=1342)
vs
49.6%
佐田の海 (R=1340)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (23 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (明生) | 50.7% |
| Actual win rate | 56.5% |
| Delta | 5.8pt |
Positive = 明生 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 明生 | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1445 (2021-11) | 1393 (2022-11) |
| Career bouts | 1,080 | 1,613 |
| Wins | 533 | 788 |
| Losses | 523 | 817 |
| Win rate | 50.8% | 49.2% |
| Current rank | Juryo #7 | Juryo #2 |
| Active period | 2011-05 〜 2026-07 | 2003-05 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (23)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 明生 | vs | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-11 | 5 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-01 | 10 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-03 | 2 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-07 | 8 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-11 | 10 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2019-01 | 12 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2019-09 | 1 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2020-03 | 11 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2020-09 | 11 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2020-11 | 1 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-05 | 3 | 58% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-01 | 12 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-03 | 6 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-05 | 7 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-01 | 4 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 2 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 12 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-07 | 8 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 3 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 8 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 11 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 10 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 13 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.