HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
55.9%
明生 (R=1476)
vs
44.1%
錦木 (R=1434)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (16 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (明生) | 49.9% |
| Actual win rate | 68.8% |
| Delta | 18.8pt |
Positive = 明生 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 明生 | 錦木 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1768 (2021-07) | 1763 (2023-07) |
| Career bouts | 1,095 | 1,396 |
| Wins | 540 | 671 |
| Losses | 531 | 716 |
| Win rate | 50.7% | 48.6% |
| Current rank | Juryo #13 | Juryo #14 |
| Active period | 2011-05 〜 2026-09 | 2006-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (16)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 明生 | vs | 錦木 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-11 | 3 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-07 | 15 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2019-05 | 5 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2020-03 | 5 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-05 | 11 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-09 | 10 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-05 | 5 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-07 | 10 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-09 | 11 | 44% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-01 | 10 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-03 | 13 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-05 | 4 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-01 | 6 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 4 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 9 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 2 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.