HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
42.3%
栃丸 (R=1392)
vs
57.7%
島津海 (R=1447)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (7 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃丸) | 46.6% |
| Actual win rate | 42.9% |
| Delta | -3.7pt |
Positive = 栃丸 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃丸 | 島津海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1484 (2022-05) | 1592 (2024-01) |
| Career bouts | 647 | 745 |
| Wins | 339 | 369 |
| Losses | 268 | 302 |
| Win rate | 55.6% | 54.6% |
| Current rank | Makushita #35 | Makushita #33 |
| Active period | 2011-05 〜 2026-09 | 2012-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (7)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃丸 | vs | 島津海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-11 | 10 | 40% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2020-07 | 13 | 41% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2021-01 | 2 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2021-07 | 11 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-05 | 6 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-07 | 9 | 52% | □ | vs | ■ |
| 2022-09 | 6 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.