HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
51.3%
栃丸 (R=1392)
vs
48.7%
北大地 (R=1383)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃丸) | 59.1% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 7.6pt |
Positive = 栃丸 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃丸 | 北大地 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1484 (2022-05) | 1465 (2024-07) |
| Career bouts | 664 | 523 |
| Wins | 348 | 270 |
| Losses | 276 | 251 |
| Win rate | 55.6% | 52.0% |
| Current rank | Makushita #21 | Makushita #19 |
| Active period | 2011-05 〜 2026-09 | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃丸 | vs | 北大地 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-01 | 8 | 69% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 5 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 6 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.