HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
42.8%
栃丸 (R=1392)
vs
57.2%
花響 (R=1443)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃丸) | 44.4% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 55.6pt |
Positive = 栃丸 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃丸 | 花響 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1484 (2022-05) | 1466 (2026-03) |
| Career bouts | 647 | 57 |
| Wins | 339 | 30 |
| Losses | 268 | 26 |
| Win rate | 55.6% | 54.4% |
| Current rank | Makushita #21 | Makushita #15 |
| Active period | 2011-05 〜 2026-09 | 2025-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃丸 | vs | 花響 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 3 | 44% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.