HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
45.6%
栃丸 (R=1239)
vs
54.4%
可貴 (R=1271)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃丸) | 23.5% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 76.5pt |
Positive = 栃丸 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃丸 | 可貴 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1373 (2011-05) | 1458 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 647 | 42 |
| Wins | 339 | 31 |
| Losses | 268 | 11 |
| Win rate | 55.6% | 73.8% |
| Current rank | Makushita #20 | Makushita #21 |
| Active period | 2011-05 〜 2026-05 | 2025-07 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃丸 | vs | 可貴 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 5 | 23% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.