HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
43.1%
玉正鳳 (R=1295)
vs
56.9%
佐田の海 (R=1343)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (玉正鳳) | 42.9% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -9.5pt |
Positive = 玉正鳳 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 玉正鳳 | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1319 (2025-03) | 1393 (2022-11) |
| Career bouts | 784 | 1,610 |
| Wins | 392 | 787 |
| Losses | 387 | 814 |
| Win rate | 50.4% | 49.3% |
| Current rank | Juryo #10 | Juryo #2 |
| Active period | 2011-09 〜 2026-07 | 2003-05 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 玉正鳳 | vs | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05 | 10 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 14 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 11 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.