HEAD-TO-HEAD

Head-to-Head Comparison

若元春

Left

若元春

Maegashira #8Arashio Stable

Change
翔猿

Right

翔猿

Maegashira #9Oitekaze Stable

Change
若元春若元春
Maegashira #8
57%
win prob (latest)
VS
翔猿翔猿
Maegashira #9
43%
win prob (latest)

Career Head-to-Head

All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).

14
23 bouts
9
翔猿 wins

Rating-based Forecast

Expected win rate (latest)

56.7%
若元春 (R=1456)
vs
43.3%
翔猿 (R=1408)

Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)

Forecast accuracy (23 bouts)

Predicted win rate (若元春)50.3%
Actual win rate60.9%
Delta10.6pt

Positive = 若元春 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.

Career Comparison

Item若元春翔猿
Peak rating1499 (2026-01)1444 (2025-01)
Career bouts928885
Wins491449
Losses401424
Win rate55.3%51.5%
Current rankMaegashira #8Maegashira #9
Active period2011-11 〜 2026-072015-01 〜 2026-07

Rating history (overlay)

Bout details (23)

BashoDayPredicted若元春vs翔猿
2017-01836%vs
2017-03934%vs
2019-03343%vs
2019-111445%vs
2020-071043%vs
2022-011445%vs
2022-03147%vs
2022-05248%vs
2022-07749%vs
2022-111247%vs
2023-011050%vs
2023-03651%vs
2023-05254%vs
2023-07255%vs
2023-09655%vs
2023-11356%vs
2024-05258%vs
2024-071257%vs
2024-09554%vs
2024-111258%vs
2025-01958%vs
2025-03956%vs
2026-07757%vs

Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.