HEAD-TO-HEAD

Head-to-Head Comparison

若元春

Left

若元春

Maegashira #8Arashio Stable

Change
一山本

Right

一山本

Maegashira #4Hanaregoma Stable

Change
若元春若元春
Maegashira #8
55%
win prob (latest)
VS
一山本一山本
Maegashira #4
45%
win prob (latest)

Career Head-to-Head

All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).

10
15 bouts
4

Rating-based Forecast

Expected win rate (latest)

54.9%
若元春 (R=1456)
vs
45.1%
一山本 (R=1421)

Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)

Forecast accuracy (14 bouts)

Predicted win rate (若元春)50.7%
Actual win rate71.4%
Delta20.7pt

Positive = 若元春 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.

Career Comparison

Item若元春一山本
Peak rating1499 (2026-01)1559 (2017-03)
Career bouts928680
Wins491351
Losses401296
Win rate55.3%54.1%
Current rankMaegashira #8Maegashira #4
Active period2011-11 〜 2026-072017-01 〜 2026-07

Rating history (overlay)

Bout details (15)

BashoDayPredicted若元春vs一山本
2018-031031%vs
2018-07334%vs
2021-031346%vs
2021-05343%vs
2021-09542%vs
2021-11846%vs
2022-01144%vs
2022-051450%vs
2025-011366%vs
2025-051563%vs
2025-09461%vs
2025-111564%vs
2026-011061%vs
2026-05658%vs
2026-071256%vs

Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.