HEAD-TO-HEAD

Head-to-Head Comparison

大栄翔

Left

大栄翔

Maegashira #4Oitekaze Stable

Change
正代

Right

正代

Maegashira #6Tokitsukaze Stable

Change
大栄翔大栄翔
Maegashira #4
64%
win prob (latest)
VS
正代正代
Maegashira #6
36%
win prob (latest)

Career Head-to-Head

All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).

25
36 bouts
11
正代 wins

Rating-based Forecast

Expected win rate (latest)

63.8%
大栄翔 (R=1508)
vs
36.2%
正代 (R=1409)

Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)

Forecast accuracy (36 bouts)

Predicted win rate (大栄翔)49.6%
Actual win rate69.4%
Delta19.9pt

Positive = 大栄翔 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.

Career Comparison

Item大栄翔正代
Peak rating1547 (2025-05)1607 (2014-05)
Career bouts1,1781,030
Wins628528
Losses519479
Win rate55.2%52.9%
Current rankMaegashira #4Maegashira #6
Active period2012-01 〜 2026-072014-03 〜 2026-07

Rating history (overlay)

Bout details (36)

BashoDayPredicted大栄翔vs正代
2016-031127%vs
2017-11633%vs
2018-031534%vs
2018-05236%vs
2019-071141%vs
2020-011147%vs
2020-03643%vs
2020-071044%vs
2020-09945%vs
2020-11440%vs
2021-01342%vs
2021-03944%vs
2021-05346%vs
2021-07244%vs
2021-091043%vs
2021-11145%vs
2022-01345%vs
2022-03147%vs
2022-05346%vs
2022-07651%vs
2022-09849%vs
2022-11951%vs
2023-01252%vs
2023-03555%vs
2023-05456%vs
2023-07158%vs
2023-09259%vs
2023-11659%vs
2024-01460%vs
2024-09563%vs
2024-11560%vs
2025-01362%vs
2025-09268%vs
2025-111263%vs
2026-031565%vs
2026-07963%vs

Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.