HEAD-TO-HEAD

Head-to-Head Comparison

大栄翔

Left

大栄翔

Maegashira #4 ・ Oitekaze Stable

Change
正代

Right

正代

Juryo #3 ・ Tokitsukaze Stable

Change
大栄翔大栄翔
Maegashira #4
76%
win prob (latest)
VS
正代正代
Juryo #3
24%
win prob (latest)

Career Head-to-Head

All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).

25
36 bouts
11
正代 wins

Rating-based Forecast

Expected win rate (latest)

75.5%
大栄翔 (R=1747)
vs
24.5%
正代 (R=1547)

Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)

Forecast accuracy (36 bouts)

Predicted win rate (大栄翔)53.5%
Actual win rate69.4%
Delta15.9pt

Positive = 大栄翔 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.

Career Comparison

Item大栄翔正代
Peak rating1866 (2025-05)1889 (2020-09)
Career bouts1,1961,048
Wins637532
Losses529494
Win rate55.0%52.3%
Current rankMaegashira #4Juryo #3
Active period2012-01 〜 2026-092014-03 〜 2026-09

Rating history (overlay)

Bout details (36)

BashoDayPredicted大栄翔vs正代
2016-031129%●vs○
2017-11635%○vs●
2018-031535%○vs●
2018-05240%●vs○
2019-071147%○vs●
2020-011159%●vs○
2020-03644%○vs●
2020-071046%○vs●
2020-09948%●vs○
2020-11431%○vs●
2021-01337%○vs●
2021-03947%○vs●
2021-05351%●vs○
2021-07245%●vs○
2021-091040%●vs○
2021-11148%○vs●
2022-01347%○vs●
2022-03151%○vs●
2022-05350%○vs●
2022-07663%●vs○
2022-09852%○vs●
2022-11959%○vs●
2023-01258%○vs●
2023-03564%○vs●
2023-05464%○vs●
2023-07167%○vs●
2023-09266%○vs●
2023-11665%●vs○
2024-01467%○vs●
2024-09570%○vs●
2024-11560%○vs●
2025-01365%○vs●
2025-09278%●vs○
2025-111263%○vs●
2026-031568%●vs○
2026-07964%○vs●

Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.