HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
63.4%
大栄翔 (R=1508)
vs
36.6%
美ノ海 (R=1411)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (9 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大栄翔) | 69.4% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -36.1pt |
Positive = 大栄翔 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大栄翔 | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1547 (2025-05) | 1577 (2016-09) |
| Career bouts | 1,178 | 746 |
| Wins | 628 | 378 |
| Losses | 519 | 362 |
| Win rate | 55.2% | 51.2% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #4 | Maegashira #2 |
| Active period | 2012-01 〜 2026-07 | 2016-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (9)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大栄翔 | vs | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07 | 13 | 75% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-11 | 6 | 70% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-03 | 15 | 74% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 5 | 73% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 11 | 69% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 2 | 68% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 6 | 66% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 10 | 66% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 6 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.