HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
43.9%
大栄翔 (R=1747)
vs
56.1%
美ノ海 (R=1791)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (10 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大栄翔) | 67.4% |
| Actual win rate | 30.0% |
| Delta | -37.4pt |
Positive = 大栄翔 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大栄翔 | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1866 (2025-05) | 1791 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 1,196 | 764 |
| Wins | 637 | 391 |
| Losses | 529 | 368 |
| Win rate | 55.0% | 51.6% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #4 | Komusubi |
| Active period | 2012-01 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (10)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大栄翔 | vs | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07 | 13 | 80% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-11 | 6 | 67% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-03 | 15 | 82% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 5 | 79% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 11 | 67% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 2 | 64% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 6 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 10 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 6 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 15 | 58% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.