HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
62.2%
大栄翔 (R=1508)
vs
37.8%
一山本 (R=1421)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大栄翔) | 67.5% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 32.5pt |
Positive = 大栄翔 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大栄翔 | 一山本 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1547 (2025-05) | 1559 (2017-03) |
| Career bouts | 1,178 | 680 |
| Wins | 628 | 351 |
| Losses | 519 | 296 |
| Win rate | 55.2% | 54.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #4 | Maegashira #4 |
| Active period | 2012-01 〜 2026-07 | 2017-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大栄翔 | vs | 一山本 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05 | 13 | 67% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-11 | 11 | 73% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 11 | 70% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 12 | 69% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 14 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 5 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.