HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
67.1%
大栄翔 (R=1747)
vs
32.9%
一山本 (R=1621)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大栄翔) | 69.5% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 30.5pt |
Positive = 大栄翔 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大栄翔 | 一山本 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1866 (2025-05) | 1710 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 1,196 | 698 |
| Wins | 637 | 356 |
| Losses | 529 | 310 |
| Win rate | 55.0% | 53.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #4 | Maegashira #12 |
| Active period | 2012-01 〜 2026-09 | 2017-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大栄翔 | vs | 一山本 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05 | 13 | 75% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-11 | 11 | 82% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 11 | 75% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 12 | 71% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 14 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 5 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.