HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
34.8%
大栄翔 (R=1747)
vs
65.2%
熱海富士 (R=1859)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (15 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大栄翔) | 54.1% |
| Actual win rate | 40.0% |
| Delta | -14.1pt |
Positive = 大栄翔 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大栄翔 | 熱海富士 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1866 (2025-05) | 1881 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 1,203 | 476 |
| Wins | 639 | 274 |
| Losses | 534 | 196 |
| Win rate | 54.9% | 58.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #4 | Sekiwake |
| Active period | 2012-01 〜 2026-09 | 2021-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (16)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大栄翔 | vs | 熱海富士 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09 | 12 | 76% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-01 | 6 | 63% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-03 | 8 | 65% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 9 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 10 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-09 | 9 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-11 | 3 | 58% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 2 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 9 | 61% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 1 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 11 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 9 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 4 | 41% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 5 | 37% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 3 | 35% | — | vs | — |
| 2026-11 | 3 | 35% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.