HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
63.1%
大栄翔 (R=1747)
vs
36.9%
欧勝馬 (R=1652)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大栄翔) | 67.5% |
| Actual win rate | 60.0% |
| Delta | -7.5pt |
Positive = 大栄翔 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大栄翔 | 欧勝馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1866 (2025-05) | 1732 (2025-05) |
| Career bouts | 1,196 | 418 |
| Wins | 637 | 212 |
| Losses | 529 | 198 |
| Win rate | 55.0% | 51.8% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #4 | Maegashira #9 |
| Active period | 2012-01 〜 2026-09 | 2021-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大栄翔 | vs | 欧勝馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11 | 13 | 69% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 8 | 75% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 12 | 65% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 7 | 62% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 14 | 67% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.