HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
49.0%
大栄翔 (R=1747)
vs
51.0%
伯乃富士 (R=1754)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大栄翔) | 54.8% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | 20.2pt |
Positive = 大栄翔 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大栄翔 | 伯乃富士 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1866 (2025-05) | 1800 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 1,196 | 329 |
| Wins | 637 | 171 |
| Losses | 529 | 112 |
| Win rate | 55.0% | 60.2% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #4 | Maegashira #3 |
| Active period | 2012-01 〜 2026-09 | 2023-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大栄翔 | vs | 伯乃富士 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05 | 10 | 70% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 9 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 1 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 6 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.