HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
36.5%
大栄翔 (R=1747)
vs
63.5%
藤ノ川 (R=1845)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大栄翔) | 61.9% |
| Actual win rate | 25.0% |
| Delta | -36.9pt |
Positive = 大栄翔 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大栄翔 | 藤ノ川 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1866 (2025-05) | 1845 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 1,196 | 250 |
| Wins | 637 | 151 |
| Losses | 529 | 92 |
| Win rate | 55.0% | 62.3% |
| Current rank | Komusubi | Sekiwake |
| Active period | 2012-01 〜 2026-09 | 2023-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大栄翔 | vs | 藤ノ川 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09 | 1 | 76% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 3 | 69% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 12 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 7 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.