HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
43.5%
出羽大海 (R=1281)
vs
56.5%
魁清城 (R=1328)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (出羽大海) | 52.3% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 14.4pt |
Positive = 出羽大海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 出羽大海 | 魁清城 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1341 (2026-03) | 1386 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 572 | 508 |
| Wins | 272 | 256 |
| Losses | 230 | 248 |
| Win rate | 54.0% | 51.1% |
| Current rank | Makushita #34 | Makushita #23 |
| Active period | 2012-03 〜 2026-09 | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 出羽大海 | vs | 魁清城 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-01 | 2 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2018-07 | 8 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-09 | 11 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.