HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
52.7%
出羽大海 (R=1281)
vs
47.3%
聖冴 (R=1262)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (出羽大海) | 40.0% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 60.0pt |
Positive = 出羽大海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 出羽大海 | 聖冴 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1341 (2026-03) | 1355 (2017-05) |
| Career bouts | 572 | 380 |
| Wins | 272 | 195 |
| Losses | 230 | 146 |
| Win rate | 54.0% | 57.0% |
| Current rank | Makushita #52 | Makushita #41 |
| Active period | 2012-03 〜 2026-09 | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 出羽大海 | vs | 聖冴 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-01 | 9 | 40% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.