HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
49.5%
出羽大海 (R=1114)
vs
50.5%
海真 (R=1118)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (出羽大海) | 52.0% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 48.0pt |
Positive = 出羽大海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 出羽大海 | 海真 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1220 (2012-03) | 1118 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 572 | 382 |
| Wins | 272 | 181 |
| Losses | 230 | 151 |
| Win rate | 54.0% | 54.2% |
| Current rank | Makushita #42 | Makushita #37 |
| Active period | 2012-03 〜 2026-05 | 2017-03 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 出羽大海 | vs | 海真 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03 | 12 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 12 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.