HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
59.5%
島津海 (R=1447)
vs
40.5%
天空海 (R=1379)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (7 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (島津海) | 57.5% |
| Actual win rate | 42.9% |
| Delta | -14.7pt |
Positive = 島津海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 島津海 | 天空海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1592 (2024-01) | 1584 (2021-11) |
| Career bouts | 763 | 881 |
| Wins | 380 | 436 |
| Losses | 309 | 434 |
| Win rate | 54.8% | 50.5% |
| Current rank | Makushita #26 | Makushita #25 |
| Active period | 2012-03 〜 2026-09 | 2010-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (7)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 島津海 | vs | 天空海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05 | 14 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-03 | 6 | 61% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-05 | 4 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-07 | 12 | 62% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-09 | 7 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-11 | 13 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 4 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.