HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
47.3%
志摩ノ海 (R=1373)
vs
52.7%
栃丸 (R=1392)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (志摩ノ海) | 57.2% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | 17.8pt |
Positive = 志摩ノ海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 志摩ノ海 | 栃丸 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1680 (2019-07) | 1484 (2022-05) |
| Career bouts | 962 | 664 |
| Wins | 460 | 348 |
| Losses | 454 | 276 |
| Win rate | 50.5% | 55.6% |
| Current rank | Makushita #21 | Makushita #21 |
| Active period | 2012-05 〜 2026-09 | 2011-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 志摩ノ海 | vs | 栃丸 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-03 | 6 | 74% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2016-03 | 8 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-09 | 13 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 1 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.