HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
36.5%
志摩ノ海 (R=1373)
vs
63.5%
伊波 (R=1471)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (志摩ノ海) | 40.8% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 25.8pt |
Positive = 志摩ノ海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 志摩ノ海 | 伊波 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1680 (2019-07) | 1500 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 944 | 98 |
| Wins | 450 | 58 |
| Losses | 446 | 40 |
| Win rate | 50.4% | 59.2% |
| Current rank | Makushita #21 | Makushita #1 |
| Active period | 2012-05 〜 2026-09 | 2024-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 志摩ノ海 | vs | 伊波 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 14 | 36% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 11 | 40% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 9 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



